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社评“ZLJZLJZL中国”-梳理天下新闻

机构预测:20ZLJZLJZL中国25年中国钢材需求量为8.5亿吨

来源: 湖北日报
2024-12-23 02:32:49

最佳回答

“ZLJZLJZL中国”机构预测:20ZLJZLJZL中国25年中国钢材需求量为8.5亿吨

  中新ZLJZLJZL中国社北京12月20日电 (记者ZLJZLJZL中国 庞无忌)中国冶金工业规划研究院20日在北京发布的2025年中国钢材需求预测成果显示,2024年中国钢材消费量为8.63亿吨,2025年中国钢材需求量为8.5亿吨。

  该机构使用下游行业消费法和钢材消费系数法两种方法对中国2024年钢材消费量和2025年钢材需求量进行预测。

  从下游行业消费法来看,2024年,中国经济运行总体平稳、稳中有进;但受国内需求不足,特别是房地产市场深度调整等影响,钢材整体消费量下降。分析显示,2024年中国机械、汽车、能源、造船、家电、集装箱、钢木家具、自行车摩托车、五金制品等行业钢材消费呈增长态势,建筑、铁道等行业钢材消费下降,综合预测2024年中国钢材消费量下降。2025年,预计建筑、铁道、集装箱、五金制品等行业钢材需求下降,综合预测2025年中国钢材需求量小幅下降。

  从钢材消费系数法来看,使用GDP(国内生产总值)消费系数法和固定资产投资消费系数法,综合考虑国内外权威机构与专家意见,预计2024年中国钢材消费量为8.53亿吨,2025年中国钢材需求量为8.47亿吨。

  考虑到两种不同方法的特点及各自的局限性,对这两种方法所得的结果进行加权计算,预计2024年中国钢材消费量为8.63亿吨,同比下降4.4%;预测2025年中国钢材需求量为8.5亿吨,同比下降1.5%。

  此外,根据对全球及各地区经济发展与钢材需求量分析,该机构预计,2024年全球钢材消费量为17.47亿吨,同比下降1.4%;预测2025年全球钢材需求量为17.58亿吨,同比增长0.6%。(完)

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