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“美國老中年熟女”-梳理天下新闻

苏剑:提振消费不美國老中年熟女能眉毛胡子一把抓

来源: 中国财经信息网
2024-12-24 05:37:10

最佳回答

“美國老中年熟女”苏剑:提振消费不美國老中年熟女能眉毛胡子一把抓

  无论美國老中年熟女是12月9日召开的中共中央政美國老中年熟女治局会议还是12月11日至12日召开的中央经济工作会议,均着重强调2025年将“大力提振消费”,“扎实推动高质量发展”。

  中国拥有庞大市场,而且是尚未充分开发的庞大市场,这是中国经济的一大优势。中国可通过促进消费、扩大内需,开发国内大市场,弥补高技术产业外需的收缩,培育新型产业应用场景,降低产业链断裂的风险,增加上下游产业韧性,自力更生,推动中国产业结构转型升级,改善居民的生活水平,提升人民群众的幸福感。

  从国际比较来看,中国目前扩大消费的潜力非常巨大。Choice数据库显示,2023年,美国年人均消费支出为56039美元,而国内年人均消费支出不足5000美元,足见中国扩大消费的空间之大。

  “大力提振消费”要在改善人民生活水平的基础上,有侧重点、有针对性推进,而非眉毛胡子一把抓。

  从市场潜力方面看,基本的食品、饮料、日用品等生活必需品即便没有刺激政策,出于日常生活的刚需也有消费市场,但对于改善消费者生活水平来说,其消费扩大的空间有限。智能家电、扫地机器人、洗碗机美國老中年熟女、短途代步工具,甚至无人机、私家车等非刚需消费品,对提升居民生活水平效果显著,改善性消费市场在中国潜力巨大。

  从调结构角度看,普通的餐饮住宿、服装鞋帽、食品等基本日常生活消费的增加,带动的是技术含量低、利润空间小的服务就业和简单加工制造就业,相应上下游产业发展较为完善、韧性大,行业门槛相对较低,存在产能过剩较为严重的问题。而智能家居、新时代文旅消费则融合了高新技术,是新兴产业的终端消费市场,促进其消费增长带动的是相关高技术产业的发展,尤其对于涵盖“卡脖子”技术的相关产品,产业链相对薄弱,存在断裂风险,需要培育产品应用市场,这是中国提振消费应该瞄准的目标之一,可借此发展壮大相关产业,增强高技术产业链的韧性,推动中国经济高质量发展。

  作者:苏剑 北京大学国民经济研究中心主任、北京大学经济学院教授

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