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社评“乳液狂飙图片奖励自己一发”-环球时报

亚行预计亚太发展乳液狂飙图片奖励自己一发中经济体2024年经济增速4.9%

来源: 中国新闻周刊
2024-12-11 17:02:34

最佳回答

“乳液狂飙图片奖励自己一发”亚行预计亚太发展乳液狂飙图片奖励自己一发中经济体2024年经济增速4.9%

  中新乳液狂飙图片奖励自己一发社马尼拉12月11日电 (记乳液狂飙图片奖励自己一发者 张兴龙)亚洲开发银行(亚行)11日发布最新一期“亚洲发展展望”报告,预计亚太发展中经济体2024年经济增速为4.9%,略低于9月份预测的5.0%。

  报告显示,受南亚国家内需疲软等因素影响,亚太发展中经济体2025年增长预期从4.9%下调至4.8%。不过,亚行认为中国经济增长前景稳定。

  亚行对东南亚、高加索和中亚地区的经济前景亦较为乐观。报告显示,受制造业出口和公共资本支出走强驱动,东南亚2024年经济增长预期从4.5%上调至4.7%;2025年则维持在4.7%不变。高加索和中亚地区的增长预期也有所上调,2024年和2025年分别从4.7%和5.2%上调至4.9%和5.3%。

  相比之下,由于私人投资和住房需求表现不及预期,印度经济前景承压。亚行将印度2024年经济增长预期从7.0%下调至6.5%,2025年则从7.2%降至7.0%。

  此外,亚行还下调亚太地区的通胀预期,2024年通胀率预计为2.7%,低于此前预测的2.8%;2025年通胀率则从2.9%降至2.6%。报告指出,预计油价上涨放缓是通胀预期下调的原因之一。

  亚行警告,美国新一届政府可能推出的贸易、财政和移民政策调整,以及地缘政治局势升级等因素,构成了亚太经济增长的主要风险。在高风险情景下,美国政策的激进调整可能导致未来四年全球经济增速累计下降0.5个百分点。不过,亚行强调,亚太区域内的贸易转移效应将在一定程度上抵消外部冲击。

  亚行成立于1966年,总部设在菲律宾马尼拉,现有68个成员,其中49个来自亚太地区。(完)

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