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社评“XXNX👙17”-知识课堂

今秋以来江西气温XXNX👙17创历史同期新高 预计今冬呈暖冬态势

来源: 深圳商报
2024-11-14 11:08:07

最佳回答

“XXNX👙17”今秋以来江西气温XXNX👙17创历史同期新高 预计今冬呈暖冬态势

  中新XXNX👙17网南昌11月12日电 (朱莹)XXNX👙1712日,记者从江西省气候中心获悉,预计江西今年冬季呈暖冬态势,降水偏少、平均气温较同期偏高,极端性低温雨雪冰冻天气风险高。

  据了解,今年秋季以来(9月1日至11月11日),江西冷空气势力偏弱,气温创历史同期新高,全省平均气温23.3℃,较历史同期偏高1.9℃;降水偏少,且时空分布不均,全省平均降水108.7毫米,偏少3.5成,部分地区出现阶段性中到重度气象干旱。

11月11日,江西婺源县篁岭古村的“晒秋”农俗景观,吸引游客参观。 中新社记者 刘占昆 摄

  江西省气候中心预计,该省今年冬季(2024年12月至2025年2月)气温总体偏高但起伏大,今年冬季江西省平均气温为8.0至9.0℃,较常年同期偏高0至1℃,呈暖冬态势。

  降水方面,江西省气候中心预计该省今冬降水偏少,发生阶段性强降温和极端低温雨雪冰冻天气的风险较大,部分地区有阶段性气象干旱发生,发生阶段性强降温和极端低温雨雪冰冻天气的风险也较高,但出现大范围持续性低温雨雪冰冻灾害的可能性小。

  “在全球气候变暖的背景下,我省冬季平均气温较历年同期偏高的情形不断增多,但暖冬也会出现阶段性强降温和低温雨雪冰冻天气。”江西省气候中心高级工程师张娟娟说。

  暖冬态势下,为何还会出现极端低温雨雪冰冻天气?张娟娟解释道,气温总体偏高是指,整个冬季的平均气温相对于历年平均偏高的情况;暖冬则是气候学概念,是指全省一半以上站点冬季平均气温偏高0.5℃以上,“从时间尺度上来讲,两者也是有区别的,是天气和气候的概念。”

  此外,江西省气候中心预计该省今冬高森林火险天气偏多,空气污染条件略差于常年同期。同时由于冷空气势力偏弱,大气污染扩散和雨洗气象条件将较常年同期略偏差。

  为此,针对今年冬季气候趋势预测,气象专家建议江西各地做好冬季煤电油气运等能源保障工作;防范冷空气降温对各行业及人体健康等的不利影响;做好森林防火和气象干旱XXNX👙17等防御工作等。(完)

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